This NAFTA 'Deal' Is So Stupidly Complicated

Ford Louisville plant
Ford Louisville plant
Photo: Timothy Easley (AP)

After a year of negotiations over the North American Free Trade Agreement, the U.S. and Mexico have struck a preliminary deal, according to multiple reports, including, surprisingly, a minimum wage requirement put at $16. But it’s not quite that simple. Oh, and Canada not only has yet to sign on, it hasn’t shown up in weeks.


Under the deal reached by the U.S. and Mexico, car companies would be required to manufacturer “at least 75 percent of an automobile’s value in North America under the new rules, up from 62.5 percent previously,” reports The New York Times.

There’s also this:

They will also be required to use more local steel, aluminum and auto parts, and have a certain proportion of the car made by workers earning at least $16 an hour, a boon to both the United States and Canada.

Trump’s negotiators floated this idea earlier this year, and as we noted, it sounds super complicated.

Moreover, it could create some unwanted effects. As the Times reported, unnamed auto executives have criticized the idea, saying it would be difficult to comply with and could push manufacturing out of North America. A threat of sorts.


The Washington Post said negotiators resolved a separate dispute on how to treat cars and trucks produced in Mexico that don’t comply with the parts requirements set under the agreement. In that case, the Post says, “American companies importing those vehicles will pay a 2.5 percent tariff.”

All of this comes with a major caveat, and that’s Canada, which according to the Post hasn’t participated in discussions for several weeks now. So while some framework of a deal coming into place is surely going to be celebrated by Trump today, there’s still—as has been the case for months now—a ton of work to be done.

Senior Reporter, Jalopnik/Special Projects Desk



Unless there is more to this finely crafted “deal”, this will be a job killer in the USA and Mexico (Canada doesn’t appear invited to the dance). A straight 2.5% tariff for any content level below 75% will just promote the auto manufacturers moving even more items to low cost producing countries to offset the tariff and any added cost from the $16/hour wage stipulation. They will then pay the 2.5% tariff which will then be passed on at the retail level.

Basically, it will elevate a small number of wage earners and put a number of others at risk.

I thought this guy was the “Best Deal Maker.” He seems to fail at every negotiation.