"WTF does free trade with Columbia have to do with anything?"
Bush is concerned about Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru and especially Venezuela. Because these nations have large nationalistic, anti-American movements, they threaten Bush's continuation of the Monroe Doctrine: i.e. maintaining western hemispheric economic hegemony.
The last few US administrations, both Republican and Democrat, have gradually tried to make the western hemisphere into an essentially tariff-free trading zone. They did this in order to use 'soft power' (economic) to consolidate this region and improve conditions, such that there would be improved growth in all western hemisphere nations. This is important because it stabilizes the region, gives locals the incentive to improve their own home areas, and can help stave off excess waves of economic immigration which might otherwise flow into the US. Helping your neighbors is also the moral thing to do. See 'Camelot' under JFK, for precedent, if you need more info.
Columbia has been the staunchest supporter of this policy, because it has been fighting an insurgency (FARC) dedicated to drugs and a sort of neo-communist, anti-American expediency. We want to reward them for this effort, by making legal trade (as opposed to illegal drug-based economies) the rising force in the region.
Despite what rabid anti-Bushies spout, this is a struggle that has been going on for decades under both parties, and is in fact very similar to the Nicaragua issues of the 1980's.
@DoctorNine: Well, that's great. It's still about as relevant as a wet fart to the current bailout of the auto industry, and I would have been a helluva lot more impressed if you could have pointed out the relevance of making it a condition of an early bailout, but that's still great.
And it reminds me just how stupid I am to make a statement like I did and expect it to be interpreted within the context of the discussion at hand. Well played, sir. Well played.
And as an addendum, I just heard on Fox that the whole free trade issue wasn't a condition of Bush's bailout support, but a separate issue discussed during the meeting, which makes it seem so much less like a pork barrel rider. Although the infobabe reporting the fact seemed about as sure of what she was saying as Palin during a Couric interview.
If it is the case that the opening of free trade with Columbia is to be used as a bargaining chip in exchange for signing the bailout, then yes, it is relevant, as it has the potential to affect the timetable of the bailout. Obama's willingness to negotiate upon that point would be the determining factor in whether or not the automakers get the loan now or if they get it too late.
As far as the context of the question you had initially asked, you didn't provide much, so it was more or less open to interpretation, and DoctorNine did a comendable job of explaining why it is important enough to be used as a potential bargaining chip during the negotation of the bailout loans.
@WilliamG.: What I think IS important, both directly, and indirectly, is that there is a limited amount of free play and wiggle room that any incoming administration has. Obama is no different than say, Bill Clinton or Jimmie Carter, in that he is coming in with a mandate to provide a different direction for the country, after people became unsatisfied with Republicans, for one reason or the other. He can use this capital in many ways. If what he does, is seen as pandering to union interests, before looking at the whole new federal capital spending plan that he needs to put in place, he could seriously damage his ability to effectively implement more critical elements of his agenda.
Those of us that are both progressive, and interested in seeing personal auto transportation and private enthusiast vehicles make it into the 21st century, need to be vocal about what we think needs to be done.
There are enough Chicken Little's that folks are starting to believe that the sky comes apart, and falls onto the ground in jagged chunks. This propaganda, if repeated often and forcefully enough, will eventually be taken as true. Once taken as true, it will BECOME true.
And that IS important. Whether the fart is wet or dry.
If we really wanted to help the auto industry and others that are failing in this nation we should lower the corporate tax rate to $0. Halt all CAFE standards for the time… we could reduce the restrictions we put on the auto industry… free up oil supplies and refining so that people are not scared to buy the big vehicles we make… just get out of the way and let them do what they do…
@adamaoc: That is exactly how the US carmakers got themselves into this mess - abundant gasoline and little impetus to deliver competitive product.
Again: The best cars are developed in countries with very high gas prices and tight competition. Doubling the gas price, basing car taxes on engine size or weight or both, would be the only way to force car makers to begin engineering again.
Admittedly, changing a company to be able to compete in these tougher conditions would be hard, which is where a $25B loan comes in handy.
do you think they will have some pocket money to throw to Tesla, Triumph, Marcos, MG and all the other automakers who couldnt keep their balance sheets in order?
also i wonder why the government doesnt buy a stake in these companies, with proper voting shares they can have a lot more influence on future proceedings and hopefully avoid a similar stuff up
@muhnkee_2: While I am all for the government getting something in return for the risk of lending money to a company that seems hell-bent on self destruction, can you imagine the lead-footed colossus that a government owned GM would be?
So we bail them out and...what exactly do they have on the horizon that will turn them around? When all this 0% financing, employee pricing, etc hit, I went to all the Domestic sites to see what cars I would be enticed to buy. Honestly, if you found something that got above 30 mpg, it was a miracle, and to get that, you sacrificed styling, features, reliability and endured a low resale value. I don't even see anything being offered in the next 2 years I'd want to buy. I just see lots full of big SUV's and trucks sitting indefinately...so the government is going to subsidize these lots full of sheetmetal that is going to sit there and rust?
@korvetkeith: I was going to buy some yesterday but now it appears my wife had decided to move, without me, and I guess maybe now isn't the time to play the stock market.
Gee, it is too bad the U.S. automakers did not do something to prepare for a growing retirement burden. You midwesterners probably know more about this than I. Are the unions the problem? From what I understand, there is a growing burden to provide health care and pension funds for retired factory workers. This is a problem Honda, Toyota, BMW, and Mercedes do not have at their plants in the south.
While I certainly recognize the importance of any job remaining intact and the significance of real manufacturing plants building American products here in the states, I really want the companies to sort this out for themselves. A bailout does nothing but teach them that it is still OK to screw up for another twenty years, we'll just bail them out again because they are important to us.
@joshman: The unions are but part of the problem. Healthcare is a major problem for EVERYBODY. I work in healthcare and they don't like to give us healthcare. It is by far the most expensive thing in a budget full of bajillion dollar gizmos.
My personal take on it is that the unions forgot who they were supposed to represent and got greedy. The union members forgot that they needed an industry and got greedy. The car companies forgot they needed product and got greedy.
And the consumers really don't care about anything other than (for the most part) who makes the best car for cheap don't really understand how tied to the economy production is. Apparently neither do the cheap labor bastards that outsourced everything for a couple cents profit or they just don't care.
I just wonder what would have happened to the nascent automobile industry exactly 100 years ago if the US government had decided to bail out the horse buggy industry instead of supporting innovation and invention...
@acarr260: See your local DeLorean dealership. With a deposit of 50%, I hear that they will throw in a nice lump of crack cocaine so you can get that feeling that you're REALLY flying.
As if Bush thought this up,he was probably too busy swinging on a tyre hanging from a rope in his tree house. Will this be enough to prevent the final nail in the coffin?
This is difficult. On one hand I want the US automakers to survive because they employ so many people and it would be such a shame to see them fall. But on the other hand isn't giving them more money just delaying the inevitable?
No, see post above. If sales are down %30 due to economic conditions, and money can't be borrowed, period, this is not "normal" operating conditions, for anyone.
@rlj676-new job, same problems: The flaw in your theory is that even before the credit crunch, the Big 3 were doing worse than the other companies and loosing market share. This will only get worse.
They do need to include a set of strings with this, as in set a series of goals and milestones that might actually be helpful in turning the company around, rather than just give it to them to use for anything from R&D to cupcakes and flowers for Rick Wagoner's office.
The turnaround that's been in place the past year or two is pretty robust, otherwise Ford/GM would have been beyond screwed a while ago. (think about the loss of volume/revenue and some of the recent losses, they are relatively "small" compared to the first years of loss, which had much higher revenue.)
As for other guidelines, our execs get no bonuses, spending is and will remain tight, etc. Strings aren't an issue, there aren't any foreign hunting trips or "seminars" planned in tropical places. (looking at you AIG).
I'm not a big fan of socialism, etc, but these are pretty desperate times and every other major auto producing country does a ton more to support thier OEM's, and actually support them. (pride I guess?)
@rlj676-new job, same problems: Well said. I am a GM guy myself, and have been known to argue quite vehemently with peers in support of the loan package, but I do think that as this support package is coming from taxpayer dollars, GM ought to make an effort to be very transparent about what they are doing with it and why at all stages; it may not make an overall difference with regards to how the money is spent, but I think that would go someways in inspiring a little more public confidence in GM
They've been doing that, I'm pretty sure Wagoner's been walking people in Wash through it in detail.
Also, all that's being asked for is a loan, and it will be repaid. What exactly are taxpayers out, if it's succesful? I'm assuming the gov't can borrow for less than they are loaning, meaning really they can make money on it?
@pauljones: GM posted a $4 billion dollar loss in 1991 and larger losses the past few years. They're incapable of not losing money. Why are we giving them more (loans)? Do you make an alcoholic drink more beer to quit his addiction?
It isn't a matter of what they will or will not actually be out in the end, it is a matter of what they perceive. Many of the replies in this thread and the others dealing with the US auto industry of late are evidence enough of that; it is what people think that matters, and that is also something that GM needs to leverage and take it into account.
Wagoner may have been talking the people in Washington through the details, but those in Washington are pretty much the only ones that have an inkling of what is going on. The taxpayers may not be out anything in the end, but they feel like they are being slighted right now, and just to add a little salt to the wounds they perceive they are being dealt, it seems to them that it is going to happen no matter what they say or do. And, let's face it: it is.
But if GM were to make more of an effort on a PR side and be completely, blatantly, almost obnoxiously obvious about what they were doing with the money every single step of the way, and make every effort to disseminate that information to the average citizen, then it might just create a different view of GM. People may still grumble that they were being bailed out in the first place, but at the same time, they might just think to themselves "Well, at least they're being honest and keeping us informed; more than can be said other aspects of the government."
The generally negative perception that much of the public has about GM is hurting them just as much, if not more so, than their financial situation. If played correctly, this loan could very easily be used as a means of improving both.
And yet, oddly enough, in between the years 1991 and, say, 2005, they somehow managed to be the largest automaker in the world. Something tells me that that just doesn't happen to a company incapable of turning a profit, but you may want to do a brief financial analysis from 1991-2008 and see how that pans out. I have been wrong before, after all.
I dunno. I can understand why a lot of people do it; it truly, simply is easier, and most of the people with whom you think won't even bother noticing that you are doing it. It's an easy thing to fall into; I sometimes find myself doing that when the conversation turns to Bush's legacy as president. My first instinct is just to blame him for everything, but then I realize that that isn't entirely fair, as there is a good deal more context to be taken in consideration. The same goes with GM, as you have pointed out. Some people simply do not even care enough to take that added context into account, and sometimes, as you politely pointed out to me, people are simply unaware of that context.
I would say, though, that for the most part, I have done a fair job of trying to take what I do know in context rather than simply pigeon-holing GM.
I hear you on the Bush comment, and was just having the conversation this morning on how much it sickens me to see the lack of respect this country has for its leader, and the ignorant statements and ideas about him. Somehow he's responsible for all of the bad things that have happened, he must've been much busier than I imagined.
I just think it comes to a lack of pride this country chooses to show in itself, and its scary.
But I think that a big part of the problem has been the general apathy that Bush and many others in the automotive industry have taken towards the perceptions of the general populace. It is these impressions that matter, and if left unattended, can fester into the almost irrational hatred that many people have directed at both Bush and GM.
So while I agree that they are not entirely to blame for all that has happened, they do share a fair portion of the blame for allowing the perceptions of the populace to reach the point that it has now.
@rlj676-new job, same problems: I agree that their (and Ford's) turnaround has been surprisingly good. They've finally started to produce some truly competitive vehicles (Aura/Malibu, Solstice/Sky, CTS, Camaro, G8, all that lambda shit), but they both need to get their act together on small vehicles. I know gas is cheap again, but it's unlikely it will stay that way forever. I know it's boring but if GM could make a civic killer they would be all set, especially if the economy stays bad. Hopefully the Cruze will fit this bill. Ford's done better with the 3 and potentially the euro Focus (god knows what they were thinking with the domestic one.)
@rlj676-new job, same problems: Lack of respect? Disillusioned is a much better word. Americans were with Bush in the beginning, they did vote him into office twice, didn't they?
But when it became clear that the war in Iraq was based on lies and didn't do what they said it would do, and when on top of that he and his government didn't have the capacity to prevent (a part of) the crisis we are about to witness ( because we are seeing only the top of the iceberg now)... and that in the mean time the countries infrastructure is falling apart, health and education have not improved, the difference between rich and poor have grown... almost any foreign country disapproves of US international politics (unlike under other presidents) ...it is not a question of respect, he did a lousy job!
@will: If US car companies wanted to have a chance to be able to compete with foreign cars, they should have started cars that could be sold in large numbers outside the US. Making good cars just for the US market is not working any longer. Starting to develop and build those cars now is very very late.
@sos10: Very true; but both GM and Ford have both made a lot of progress on that front. It used to be that at both Ford and GM, the term "global car" was the buzzword, meaning that they were trying to make a car that would fit across a wide variety of markets around the world. The Ford Escort is one such car that comes to mind.
They quickly found, though, that that simply would not work, as there simply was not enough overlap in the requirements of different markets to make the "global car" feasible. Instead, they have both focused on creating "global platforms" that are the same on a fundamental basis, but can be greatly varied according to the needs of the market it is being sold in. The Epsilon, Zeta, and Lambda platforms are examples of this.
I think that you are correct in your assertion that it is now just a tad too late to develop platforms that are designed to work only in the US market, but I also think that that is not a problem that either GM or Ford has been having with the development of their new platforms (full-size truck platforms notwithstanding).
11/11/08
"WTF does free trade with Columbia have to do with anything?"
Bush is concerned about Bolivia, Ecuador, Peru and especially Venezuela. Because these nations have large nationalistic, anti-American movements, they threaten Bush's continuation of the Monroe Doctrine: i.e. maintaining western hemispheric economic hegemony.
The last few US administrations, both Republican and Democrat, have gradually tried to make the western hemisphere into an essentially tariff-free trading zone. They did this in order to use 'soft power' (economic) to consolidate this region and improve conditions, such that there would be improved growth in all western hemisphere nations. This is important because it stabilizes the region, gives locals the incentive to improve their own home areas, and can help stave off excess waves of economic immigration which might otherwise flow into the US. Helping your neighbors is also the moral thing to do. See 'Camelot' under JFK, for precedent, if you need more info.
Columbia has been the staunchest supporter of this policy, because it has been fighting an insurgency (FARC) dedicated to drugs and a sort of neo-communist, anti-American expediency. We want to reward them for this effort, by making legal trade (as opposed to illegal drug-based economies) the rising force in the region.
Despite what rabid anti-Bushies spout, this is a struggle that has been going on for decades under both parties, and is in fact very similar to the Nicaragua issues of the 1980's.
That's why he cares. It is important. You asked.
11/11/08
Ladies and gentlemen, and pwnage in 243 words.
Nicely explained.
11/11/08
And it reminds me just how stupid I am to make a statement like I did and expect it to be interpreted within the context of the discussion at hand. Well played, sir. Well played.
And as an addendum, I just heard on Fox that the whole free trade issue wasn't a condition of Bush's bailout support, but a separate issue discussed during the meeting, which makes it seem so much less like a pork barrel rider. Although the infobabe reporting the fact seemed about as sure of what she was saying as Palin during a Couric interview.
11/11/08
Here's the relevance aspect:
If it is the case that the opening of free trade with Columbia is to be used as a bargaining chip in exchange for signing the bailout, then yes, it is relevant, as it has the potential to affect the timetable of the bailout. Obama's willingness to negotiate upon that point would be the determining factor in whether or not the automakers get the loan now or if they get it too late.
As far as the context of the question you had initially asked, you didn't provide much, so it was more or less open to interpretation, and DoctorNine did a comendable job of explaining why it is important enough to be used as a potential bargaining chip during the negotation of the bailout loans.
11/11/08
11/11/08
Those of us that are both progressive, and interested in seeing personal auto transportation and private enthusiast vehicles make it into the 21st century, need to be vocal about what we think needs to be done.
There are enough Chicken Little's that folks are starting to believe that the sky comes apart, and falls onto the ground in jagged chunks. This propaganda, if repeated often and forcefully enough, will eventually be taken as true. Once taken as true, it will BECOME true.
And that IS important. Whether the fart is wet or dry.
11/11/08
except when it helps ME.
11/11/08
Well played comment, sir, well played.
11/11/08
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Again: The best cars are developed in countries with very high gas prices and tight competition. Doubling the gas price, basing car taxes on engine size or weight or both, would be the only way to force car makers to begin engineering again.
Admittedly, changing a company to be able to compete in these tougher conditions would be hard, which is where a $25B loan comes in handy.
11/11/08
11/11/08
It's called "lets block Obama every step of the way so that the lame-duck administration can go ahead and do nothing".
11/11/08
also i wonder why the government doesnt buy a stake in these companies, with proper voting shares they can have a lot more influence on future proceedings and hopefully avoid a similar stuff up
11/11/08
Scaaary.
11/11/08
11/11/08
What?
Malibu - 33 mpg, Fusion 30 something, and those are just the larger cars. Escape Hybrid, Aura hybrid....
GM makes THE MOST cars getting over 30. So, you've done a good job of posting the general wrong perception as you're "experience", congrats.
11/11/08
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11/11/08
Friends, DeLorean is BACK!
11/11/08
While I certainly recognize the importance of any job remaining intact and the significance of real manufacturing plants building American products here in the states, I really want the companies to sort this out for themselves. A bailout does nothing but teach them that it is still OK to screw up for another twenty years, we'll just bail them out again because they are important to us.
11/11/08
My personal take on it is that the unions forgot who they were supposed to represent and got greedy. The union members forgot that they needed an industry and got greedy. The car companies forgot they needed product and got greedy.
And the consumers really don't care about anything other than (for the most part) who makes the best car for cheap don't really understand how tied to the economy production is. Apparently neither do the cheap labor bastards that outsourced everything for a couple cents profit or they just don't care.
But it's just my opinion, I could be wrong.
11/11/08
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11/11/08
At the risk of being somewhat dramatic: NO.
11/11/08
11/11/08
No, see post above. If sales are down %30 due to economic conditions, and money can't be borrowed, period, this is not "normal" operating conditions, for anyone.
11/11/08
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11/11/08
The turnaround that's been in place the past year or two is pretty robust, otherwise Ford/GM would have been beyond screwed a while ago. (think about the loss of volume/revenue and some of the recent losses, they are relatively "small" compared to the first years of loss, which had much higher revenue.)
As for other guidelines, our execs get no bonuses, spending is and will remain tight, etc. Strings aren't an issue, there aren't any foreign hunting trips or "seminars" planned in tropical places. (looking at you AIG).
I'm not a big fan of socialism, etc, but these are pretty desperate times and every other major auto producing country does a ton more to support thier OEM's, and actually support them. (pride I guess?)
11/11/08
11/11/08
They've been doing that, I'm pretty sure Wagoner's been walking people in Wash through it in detail.
Also, all that's being asked for is a loan, and it will be repaid. What exactly are taxpayers out, if it's succesful? I'm assuming the gov't can borrow for less than they are loaning, meaning really they can make money on it?
11/11/08
11/11/08
It isn't a matter of what they will or will not actually be out in the end, it is a matter of what they perceive. Many of the replies in this thread and the others dealing with the US auto industry of late are evidence enough of that; it is what people think that matters, and that is also something that GM needs to leverage and take it into account.
Wagoner may have been talking the people in Washington through the details, but those in Washington are pretty much the only ones that have an inkling of what is going on. The taxpayers may not be out anything in the end, but they feel like they are being slighted right now, and just to add a little salt to the wounds they perceive they are being dealt, it seems to them that it is going to happen no matter what they say or do. And, let's face it: it is.
But if GM were to make more of an effort on a PR side and be completely, blatantly, almost obnoxiously obvious about what they were doing with the money every single step of the way, and make every effort to disseminate that information to the average citizen, then it might just create a different view of GM. People may still grumble that they were being bailed out in the first place, but at the same time, they might just think to themselves "Well, at least they're being honest and keeping us informed; more than can be said other aspects of the government."
The generally negative perception that much of the public has about GM is hurting them just as much, if not more so, than their financial situation. If played correctly, this loan could very easily be used as a means of improving both.
11/11/08
And yet, oddly enough, in between the years 1991 and, say, 2005, they somehow managed to be the largest automaker in the world. Something tells me that that just doesn't happen to a company incapable of turning a profit, but you may want to do a brief financial analysis from 1991-2008 and see how that pans out. I have been wrong before, after all.
11/11/08
Why look at reality, when its easier to frame your negative thoughts with a single year that fits your "ideas"?
11/11/08
Because sometimes it's just easier, dammit!
I dunno. I can understand why a lot of people do it; it truly, simply is easier, and most of the people with whom you think won't even bother noticing that you are doing it. It's an easy thing to fall into; I sometimes find myself doing that when the conversation turns to Bush's legacy as president. My first instinct is just to blame him for everything, but then I realize that that isn't entirely fair, as there is a good deal more context to be taken in consideration. The same goes with GM, as you have pointed out. Some people simply do not even care enough to take that added context into account, and sometimes, as you politely pointed out to me, people are simply unaware of that context.
I would say, though, that for the most part, I have done a fair job of trying to take what I do know in context rather than simply pigeon-holing GM.
11/11/08
I hear you on the Bush comment, and was just having the conversation this morning on how much it sickens me to see the lack of respect this country has for its leader, and the ignorant statements and ideas about him. Somehow he's responsible for all of the bad things that have happened, he must've been much busier than I imagined.
I just think it comes to a lack of pride this country chooses to show in itself, and its scary.
11/11/08
I agree, it is somewhat scary in many ways.
But I think that a big part of the problem has been the general apathy that Bush and many others in the automotive industry have taken towards the perceptions of the general populace. It is these impressions that matter, and if left unattended, can fester into the almost irrational hatred that many people have directed at both Bush and GM.
So while I agree that they are not entirely to blame for all that has happened, they do share a fair portion of the blame for allowing the perceptions of the populace to reach the point that it has now.
11/11/08
11/11/08
But when it became clear that the war in Iraq was based on lies and didn't do what they said it would do, and when on top of that he and his government didn't have the capacity to prevent (a part of) the crisis we are about to witness ( because we are seeing only the top of the iceberg now)... and that in the mean time the countries infrastructure is falling apart, health and education have not improved, the difference between rich and poor have grown... almost any foreign country disapproves of US international politics (unlike under other presidents) ...it is not a question of respect, he did a lousy job!
11/11/08
11/11/08
They quickly found, though, that that simply would not work, as there simply was not enough overlap in the requirements of different markets to make the "global car" feasible. Instead, they have both focused on creating "global platforms" that are the same on a fundamental basis, but can be greatly varied according to the needs of the market it is being sold in. The Epsilon, Zeta, and Lambda platforms are examples of this.
I think that you are correct in your assertion that it is now just a tad too late to develop platforms that are designed to work only in the US market, but I also think that that is not a problem that either GM or Ford has been having with the development of their new platforms (full-size truck platforms notwithstanding).