Batteries will only be useful for short duty commuting, not aircraft or marine shipping. People need to understand that engineered liquid fuels and nuclear power are going to have to be used in vehicles that don't plug into the grid every night. There really aren't any other carbon neutral options once petroleum is gone.
Toyota subsidized the first gen Prius as a long term investment in the marketplace, but GM can't afford to do with the Volt. Its sale price will be a huge obstacle especially in this economy.
Last year when my wife's lease was coming due she wanted a Ford Escape. Because she drives 35 miles each way to work I looked at the Escape Hybrid. I have the calculation at work, but basically in order to recoup the extra cost of the hybrid drive -- about $5,000 -- with her driving mix, gas would have to average $4.50 per gallon over the next 5 years. I set 5 years as the window because that is when the car would be paid off.
Obviously, gas is a lot cheaper than that right now, and I don't see gas prices sustaining $4.50 or more anytime soon due to the economy and declining demand.
This doesn't even address my objections to people's mistaken belief that hybrids are better for the environment.
The article did a great job of gift-wrapping a boatload of bias against the study, which wasn't even outlined whatsoever. Wait to see what the man has to say before trying to slam him on his point...obviously he's a rather educated person and wouldn't publish something totally incoherent.
The concept behind the Volt seems to be the same thing that brought about the Veyron - let's see what we can do, and so what if we actually lose money on the thing? Of course, VW AG doesn't seem to be teetering on the brink of bankruptcy, so they can afford to have an experiment on the books. GM, on the other hand...
Same idea, wildly different products. Who wants a Volt poster on their wall?
I'm pretty sure that this is one of the main arguments the industry has been using for a while, so hopefully somebody shows this to Obama's automotive panel and they kick in a bit more cash for the program or rebates to lower the price.
And as was previously mentioned, those who do buy hybrids now aren't really worried about recouping the cost. And those who buy $40,000 cars aren't really worried about gas prices. They want something "green", something that makes a statement, and something hi-tech. That's what this is about.
If FromaBuick6 has to watch one more Chevy commercial, he's going to punch Howie Long in the face was starred
If FromaBuick6 has to watch one more Chevy commercial, he's going to punch Howie Long in the face was unstarred
Why is it that everyone is seeming to forget that the Volt is not designed to be profitable from the start? It's brand new technology, and GM is willing to take a loss on each car because it's a proof of concept. Once the technology is proven reliable, it will then filter down to less expensive vehicles and the cost will naturally come down over time.
For example, the Playstation 3 is an amazing piece of technology. But when it first launched, it was crazy expensivve. Was it worth it to some people still? Yes. Will it be worth more to the masses once the price comes down? Absolutely.
Anyone out there crowing about how the Volt is too expensive and won't save GM obviously doesn't know anything about the auto industry. This is basically one big experiment, and if it pays off, GM will be far better off in the long run. Looking only a year or two down the line is just plain dumb.
@CiroDike: If I remember correctly, a huge part of the development cost for the Volt has to do with the battery pack its using and new battery developments. Once they get it right for the Volt, they'll be able to use that in just about any future series hybrid vehicles, but when they just have the Volt, yeah, it won't be cost effective at all.
@Tyson: The battery was already developed. All GM "developed" was the competition between the battery developers and picked the one that was a better fit.
GM didn't do squat to develop the batteries... all they did was work on how to integrate them.
@petersterncan: I don't know where you got your information, but it is patently incorrect.
GM and a very large contingent of GM battery engineers have been working closely with suppliers on the composition, thermal characteristics, battery conditioning, environmental capability, and durability the whole way though.
@elwood: Saying the technology exists and applying it to one of the harshest, most regulated, most publicly scrutinized operating environments are two different things. The Volt will be equipped with some of the largest mobile lithium ion batteries every produced, designed to deliver the same range at 100,000 miles as they did at zero. Does your laptop deliver the same charge as it did when you bought it a year ago? The battery, engine and generator, GPS, power control system and charging systems all work together to provide power to the wheels and maximize fuel economy as well as protect the longevity of the actual battery chemistry. Just those problems require a mountain of technical innovation, and we've barely even scratched the surface. What of a fuel system which may never cycle through its fuel? How do you maintain engine bearing surfaces which may see pressurized oil once a year? And on and on.
@Ben Wojdyla: GM battery engineers? More like GM battery *packaging* engineers. The suppliers did the battery research. The only question was how big of a battery GM wanted (composition), how to ensure proper cooling (thermal characteristics/needs in hot and cold weather), programming the ECU (battery conditioning isn't really relevant with Lithium Ion) and with supplier's battery tech lasts longer.
That sir, isn't "battery research" no matter what GM's PR people say.
It's just integration.
GM engineers didn't develop any new type of battery... they only compared what was available, picked the best option and worked on integrating that solution for their purpose.
It's no different than when I build a computer and choose the appropriate parts for the application I'm building the computer for... and cooling, reliability and environmental factors play into that too!
Merely comparing what's available, picking the best and integrating it doesn't qualify as "cpu research", "hard disk research", "motherboard research" or "computer case research".
@petersterncan: And I get my info from press releases, company reports and tech info from actual battery suppliers such as A123, Altair Nano,Valence, Panasonic, Sony, etc. Valence in particular makes a battery so safe, you can shoot it with a shot gun (an actual test they did) and it won't leak, catch fire or do anything dangerous... and it was developed with automotive applications several years ago... back when GM was still saying that "advanced batteries don't exist".
Being an IT person who looks after a fleet of laptops and a couple of UPSes among other things, battery life is something of interest to me.
All the battery issues that you have in an Electric car are pretty much the same issues you have in a laptop computer.
And I'm pretty sure that if we had ONLY GM's "battery research" to rely on, we'd all still be using Lead-acid batteries and *maybe* some NiMH batteries that require charging methods incompatible with what you find in a typical home.
So when I see GM talking about their "battery research", anyone who has been really watching what's been going on over the past 10 years is just gonna give GM a cynical groan...
@petersterncan: You obviously have also gotten an engineering degree, worked in the automotive field, visited the GM research labs the testing facilities, and talked with all the engineers and program managers, so obviously my expertise, experiences and opinions will hold no sway with you.
The new Honda Insight will be stomping on the Volt like a narc at a bker rally for some time to come.
It's a damn shame they couldn't stick with the original Volt looks. They actually were on to something there for about ten seconds but then that old GM suck came back and bit them in the bottom.
I don't see the Volt surviving or GM in its current state of silliness.
@jduffy13: @jduffy13: I try to be funny and lighthearted, but your obsessive GM hatred is clouding even my all penetrating optimism.
First, Honda Insight is just a soft hybrid designed for cheapness and mass consumption. It pushes nothing forward. It relies on now-ubiquitous technology and fancy graphics. Not to mention that it looks like a wannabeprius slug. Will it sell more? Duh. Is it really the future? No way in hell. The FCX is a Honda to be proud of, but no one in the world knows what it is or even that it exists.
And how can they stick with the original Volt's design? It was a flight of fantasy, not designed with aerodynamics or functionality in mind. You couldn't have possibly expected it to look like that with those bling wheels in stow. If GM was being silly, it would've just put that straight into production, but they didn't. They actually thought it through. They have done something many were thinking about but no one had guts to do.
@Pessimippopotamus Parkingtonius: At $40k, the Volt isn't exactly the future either. Hell, with the current battery technology, real viable electric cars probably won't have much in common with the Volt at all. And for the Volt to even possibly be the future, GM has to make and sell some first.
@elwood: We live in the world where quite a lot of people pay over $40k for a Volkswagen and $30k rebadged Honda Accord. It's not that foreign of a concept. And this one actually packs technology.
The way I see it, this is the only viable electric car in foreseeable future. All other existing electric cars are cheaply developed and are seemingly dangerous. Not that they can actually register them as "cars" anyway.
Of course, if you believe that none of the electricity driven cars are the future, then I'll understand why the Volt is so unlikeable.
@Pessimippopotamus Parkingtonius: What technology does this pack? Batteries? A generator hooked up to a gas motor? It's all stuff that's been done before. And until you can get more than 40 miles to a charge in electric-only mode, electric cars have a fairly limited use.
And for what it's worth, I think the future is going to be some sort of electric or hybrid for commuting, and biofuels used to power long haul transportation. And at $40k for a commuter car, unless the Volt is built like a BMW, M-B, or Audi, I don't see how it can be successful.
@elwood: Indeed the components that are used and the ideas are already there. But the execution is what sets it apart. What other car has an electric drivetrain priority over the gasoline engine? What other car from a major manufacturer can be charged up from the power grid without the loss of practicality, or the flexibility when powering up? Nothing has been done like before, certainly not in this scale. If this isn't a technological push, I don't know what that is.
I'm not belittling the value of $40k, but obviously, this is the first of its kind, like the FCX (which also has a ridiculous rental fee). It can't be helped that GM is a business and it needs to make back the money it spent on development. I'm sure any competitor would do the same. And considering how useless the Tesla Roadster is (and the quality is terrible on that car), I'm thinking the Volt is an extremely good value for trying something novel.
@Pessimippopotamus Parkingtonius: Dude, your fanboy GM hucksterism isn't optimism or hopefulness. It's simply another layer of PR from a company that has always tried to use marketing and legislation to force people to buy the crap it makes, rather than actually put out a product that is so brilliant that people flock to it. No offense man, but elwwod and the duffy unit are spot on.
@7shades: No they aren't. They're not even out yet, so all your "points" have no value. gas & Otto engines are at the end of their lifecycle.. the only way to make them better is to ad things... therefore adding things that can go wrong.
An electric motor is extremely simple, that's one of the reasons car manufacturers don't like the idea of electric; less money to be made after the sale.
@7shades: Hey, as long as those euro turbodiesels can meet emissions, go for it. The automotive future is most likely going to be powered by some combination of biofuels and electric powered cars, and when biofuels hit the big time, cars like the european turbodiesels will be the way to go.
@sos10: That is just silly. Have you ever owned a modern car? When was the last time major part of the internal combustion was the part that failed? That is incredibly rare nowadays.
No, it is always stupid little electronics that fail. It is always some little sensor, motor, or computer that gets messed up and all of those will be in electric cars. My car all the problems have been electrical like the defroster fan going or traction control randomly turning off.
@sos10: Valid points, but in the Volt we have the wrong car, at the wrong time. Anyone looking to purchase an 'efficient/alternative' vehicle in this economic climate WILL be basing their decision primarily on how it will effect the bank balance, and not much else. The only saving grace this car MAY have, is the USDM's almost non-existence of the cheap, efficient low emissions diesels the rest of the world is turning to.
@Chaparral: Huh? I've never had any electronics fail on any of my cars. The closest thing I can think is a thermostat, but that was a valve that got gummed up, not a wire that shorted out. Wait . . . Do you buy British? That's probably it. I'm sorry man. Listen, it's not always that bad. Seriously.
Then again, I always buy low-end Japanese cars without lots of fiddly electronic bits. No traction control, no automatic transmission, no "sport mode."
The things that have failed on my cars? CV joints. Clutch pads. CV boots. Brake boosters. Brake rotors.
@alowishus, ecoboosted: Jesus man, what was it like when your brake rotors failed? lol.
And there's a big difference between "electrics" which is what broke on british cars, and "electronics" which breaks on every other car. See: VW. Now that is a can of worms when it comes to reliability issues.
@sos10: I have to say, it seems kind of preposterous to say that car makers are scared of electric motors, when they're such a new technology that they almost certainly will break down, and almost certainly do so during the warranty period. Unless the current trend keeps going to it's logical conclusion and your warranty is good for 10 hours/5 miles.
@7shades: Deisels are at best a stopgap. The issue is energy independence and reduced carbon footprint. Deisels by definition are a carbon based fuel, which ultimately will need to be replaced.
@jdickson87: Electric motors are not new technology at all, they are around since at least a hundred years and are used in all kinds of situations, from high speed trains to industrial vehicles.
The fact is that the electric motor is 1 moving part, compared to many moving parts in a combustion engine. Also an electric car needs a very simple gearbox, if it needs one at all, so that's another plus.
@Dollarbill4: Diesels running algae diesel/sewage diesel are corbon neutral, or even remove some of the atmospheric CO2 to the extent that that CO2 is in stored biodiesel. Engineered liquid fuels will be required for vehicles that require highly dense energy stroage for their duty cycles, like jet aircraft for instance. So you are just plain wrong.
@.357: This is why they are planning a Caddy version...why that wasn't in the cards in the first place, I will never know. First adapters will pay a premium, and there are many more first adapters at the Caddy price point than at a Chevy price point (or at least more that can rationalize the extravagant price...)
This is a halo car though, so the rules don't necessarily apply. How much free publicity and general goodwill from press and public alike has the Prius generated for Toyota?
02/28/09
I'll be outside huffing hydrocarbons.
02/28/09
02/28/09
02/28/09
02/28/09
02/27/09
Obviously, gas is a lot cheaper than that right now, and I don't see gas prices sustaining $4.50 or more anytime soon due to the economy and declining demand.
This doesn't even address my objections to people's mistaken belief that hybrids are better for the environment.
02/28/09
02/28/09
02/27/09
02/27/09
I almost agreed with you until you said "obviously he's a rather educated person and wouldn't publish something totally incoherent."
How collegiate of you.
02/27/09
If its anywhere near the AWESOME quality of any of the past 20 years worth of FWDGMSHITBOXes on the road... hey, its a win/win for everyone..
Wait.. its not..
02/27/09
02/27/09
Same idea, wildly different products. Who wants a Volt poster on their wall?
02/28/09
02/27/09
And as was previously mentioned, those who do buy hybrids now aren't really worried about recouping the cost. And those who buy $40,000 cars aren't really worried about gas prices. They want something "green", something that makes a statement, and something hi-tech. That's what this is about.
02/27/09
"Coming soon, the 2015 AmCar Volt! Government built, taxpayer backed!"
02/27/09
For example, the Playstation 3 is an amazing piece of technology. But when it first launched, it was crazy expensivve. Was it worth it to some people still? Yes. Will it be worth more to the masses once the price comes down? Absolutely.
Anyone out there crowing about how the Volt is too expensive and won't save GM obviously doesn't know anything about the auto industry. This is basically one big experiment, and if it pays off, GM will be far better off in the long run. Looking only a year or two down the line is just plain dumb.
02/27/09
02/27/09
02/27/09
GM didn't do squat to develop the batteries... all they did was work on how to integrate them.
02/27/09
GM and a very large contingent of GM battery engineers have been working closely with suppliers on the composition, thermal characteristics, battery conditioning, environmental capability, and durability the whole way though.
@elwood: Saying the technology exists and applying it to one of the harshest, most regulated, most publicly scrutinized operating environments are two different things. The Volt will be equipped with some of the largest mobile lithium ion batteries every produced, designed to deliver the same range at 100,000 miles as they did at zero. Does your laptop deliver the same charge as it did when you bought it a year ago? The battery, engine and generator, GPS, power control system and charging systems all work together to provide power to the wheels and maximize fuel economy as well as protect the longevity of the actual battery chemistry. Just those problems require a mountain of technical innovation, and we've barely even scratched the surface. What of a fuel system which may never cycle through its fuel? How do you maintain engine bearing surfaces which may see pressurized oil once a year? And on and on.
02/28/09
That sir, isn't "battery research" no matter what GM's PR people say.
It's just integration.
GM engineers didn't develop any new type of battery... they only compared what was available, picked the best option and worked on integrating that solution for their purpose.
It's no different than when I build a computer and choose the appropriate parts for the application I'm building the computer for... and cooling, reliability and environmental factors play into that too!
Merely comparing what's available, picking the best and integrating it doesn't qualify as "cpu research", "hard disk research", "motherboard research" or "computer case research".
02/28/09
Being an IT person who looks after a fleet of laptops and a couple of UPSes among other things, battery life is something of interest to me.
All the battery issues that you have in an Electric car are pretty much the same issues you have in a laptop computer.
And I'm pretty sure that if we had ONLY GM's "battery research" to rely on, we'd all still be using Lead-acid batteries and *maybe* some NiMH batteries that require charging methods incompatible with what you find in a typical home.
So when I see GM talking about their "battery research", anyone who has been really watching what's been going on over the past 10 years is just gonna give GM a cynical groan...
03/01/09
02/27/09
It's a damn shame they couldn't stick with the original Volt looks. They actually were on to something there for about ten seconds but then that old GM suck came back and bit them in the bottom.
I don't see the Volt surviving or GM in its current state of silliness.
02/27/09
First, Honda Insight is just a soft hybrid designed for cheapness and mass consumption. It pushes nothing forward. It relies on now-ubiquitous technology and fancy graphics. Not to mention that it looks like a wannabeprius slug. Will it sell more? Duh. Is it really the future? No way in hell. The FCX is a Honda to be proud of, but no one in the world knows what it is or even that it exists.
And how can they stick with the original Volt's design? It was a flight of fantasy, not designed with aerodynamics or functionality in mind. You couldn't have possibly expected it to look like that with those bling wheels in stow. If GM was being silly, it would've just put that straight into production, but they didn't. They actually thought it through. They have done something many were thinking about but no one had guts to do.
02/27/09
02/27/09
The way I see it, this is the only viable electric car in foreseeable future. All other existing electric cars are cheaply developed and are seemingly dangerous. Not that they can actually register them as "cars" anyway.
Of course, if you believe that none of the electricity driven cars are the future, then I'll understand why the Volt is so unlikeable.
02/27/09
And for what it's worth, I think the future is going to be some sort of electric or hybrid for commuting, and biofuels used to power long haul transportation. And at $40k for a commuter car, unless the Volt is built like a BMW, M-B, or Audi, I don't see how it can be successful.
02/27/09
I'm not belittling the value of $40k, but obviously, this is the first of its kind, like the FCX (which also has a ridiculous rental fee). It can't be helped that GM is a business and it needs to make back the money it spent on development. I'm sure any competitor would do the same. And considering how useless the Tesla Roadster is (and the quality is terrible on that car), I'm thinking the Volt is an extremely good value for trying something novel.
02/27/09
02/27/09
02/27/09
An electric motor is extremely simple, that's one of the reasons car manufacturers don't like the idea of electric; less money to be made after the sale.
02/27/09
02/27/09
No, it is always stupid little electronics that fail. It is always some little sensor, motor, or computer that gets messed up and all of those will be in electric cars. My car all the problems have been electrical like the defroster fan going or traction control randomly turning off.
02/27/09
02/27/09
Then again, I always buy low-end Japanese cars without lots of fiddly electronic bits. No traction control, no automatic transmission, no "sport mode."
The things that have failed on my cars? CV joints. Clutch pads. CV boots. Brake boosters. Brake rotors.
02/27/09
And there's a big difference between "electrics" which is what broke on british cars, and "electronics" which breaks on every other car. See: VW. Now that is a can of worms when it comes to reliability issues.
@sos10: I have to say, it seems kind of preposterous to say that car makers are scared of electric motors, when they're such a new technology that they almost certainly will break down, and almost certainly do so during the warranty period. Unless the current trend keeps going to it's logical conclusion and your warranty is good for 10 hours/5 miles.
02/27/09
02/28/09
02/28/09
The fact is that the electric motor is 1 moving part, compared to many moving parts in a combustion engine. Also an electric car needs a very simple gearbox, if it needs one at all, so that's another plus.
02/28/09
02/27/09
02/27/09
02/27/09
02/27/09
This is a halo car though, so the rules don't necessarily apply. How much free publicity and general goodwill from press and public alike has the Prius generated for Toyota?
02/27/09
03/01/09
Would you mind forwarding your resume to GM's front office? Your nation thanks you.